On 3 October, the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace published an article by Tunisian journalist Sghaier Hidri entitled ‘Libya: Tough Choices After Bashaagha’s Failure’. Hidri explains the development of clashes between the Government of National Stability (GNS) Prime Minister, Fathi Bashaagha, and the Government of National Unity (GNU) Prime Minister, Abdul Hameed Dabaiba. Hidri examines how Bashaagha’s attempts to enter Tripoli and oust Dabaiba have played out in recent months, exploring the changing allegiances of groups such as the 777 Brigade and the role that various militia groups have had in supporting rival executive governments. Hidri believes that as the situation stands today, ‘the future of executive power in Libya is a matter of speculation’ as it seems both sides are committed to war without a political solution, though Hidri notes that Bashaagha seems discouraged after his successive military failures. However, Hidri believes the House of Representatives (HoR) suggestion to form a government independent of the GNU and GNS may end up having leverage and potential backing by Turkey. He concludes that this proposal could be accepted by Bashaagha and Dabaiba if it guarantees them political survival and the chance to run in future elections.
Read the full article here.